2012年2月9日星期四

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High quality global journalism requires investment. Please share this article with others using the link below, do not cut & paste the article. See our Ts&Cs gucci belts and Copyright Policy for more detail. Email ftsales.support@ft.com to buy additional rights. Adding to the grim picture, China’s exports also dipped last month as its companies felt a chill wind from Europe’s debt troubles. Exports fell 0.5 per cent year on year, the first decline since late 2009. High quality global journalism requires investment. Please share this article with others using the link below, do not cut & paste the article. See our Ts&Cs and Copyright Policy for more detail. Email ftsales.support@ft.com to buy additional rights. Chinese imports fell sharply in January, a sign of sluggish domestic demand that will fuel concerns about whether the fragile global economy can count on China as a bastion of growth. Adding to the grim picture, China’s exports also dipped last month as its companies felt a chill wind from Europe’s debt troubles. Exports fell 0.5 per cent year on year, the first decline since late 2009. Imports plunged 15.3 per cent, leaving China with a trade surplus of $27.3bn on the month. However, the numbers were significantly distorted by China’s New Year holiday last month, which brought the country’s businesses to a standstill for a full week. Economists had expected an import slowdown because of the calendar effect, but Alistair Thornton with IHS Global Insight in Beijing said that was not a sufficient explanation. “Such a dramatically low import number reflects extremely weak domestic demand as investment slumps and drags on economic activity,” he said. The focus in China has already begun to shift to how the government can prop up growth. Beijing has been cautious so far to launch any aggressive stimulus measures, for fear of fanning a rebound in inflation and public debt. It has instead taken a more low-key approach: instructing the country’s state-owned banks to lend more, experimenting with a relaxation of property market restrictions in smaller cities and planning subsidy programmes to encourage consumption. Stephen Green, an economist with Standard Chartered in Hong Kong, cautioned against overreacting to the weak data. “Given the factories were closed, it’s silly season for the numbers,” he said. “In the next three months, the slowdown will probably be exacerbated, but then China should climb back.” Soft exports are likely to make the Chinese government’s task more difficult. Economists and officials say that the country’s overall trade surplus is likely to be considerably smaller than in recent years – a reflection of just how weak the global economy remains. “The exports this January cannot make us optimistic,” Chen Deming, commerce minister, said this week. The International Monetary Fund has warned that economic growth in China could drop by half this year if there is a deep recession in Europe because the country would be “highly exposed” through trade ties. Aware of the bleak outlook, Beijing has taken a variety of measures to support its export sector. It has promised to expand tax rebates for companies selling goods abroad and, more controversially, also slowed the pace of renminbi appreciation. Another move that could help exporters would be financial aid for Europe, which is China’s largest single export market. Last week in a visit to China’s manufacturing http://www.cheapguccioutlet2012.com heartland in Guangdong province, Premier Wen Jiabao said that “helping to stabilise the European market is actually also helping ourselves”. China’s trade surplus peaked at nearly $300bn in 2008 and has been narrowing since then. It fell to $155bn last year. Lu Ting, an economist with Bank of America Merrill Lynch, forecasts that the surplus will plunge to $41bn this year, which would be the smallest in nearly a decade. Last month, Jeff Blackard of the McKinney-based Blackard Group went undercover in South Carolina as a walk-in Santorum volunteer. He came away convinced that the Pennsylvania Republican would make the party's best nominee for president. "You can't change the country sitting on the couch watching TV news," said Blackard, 54, Santorum's host Wednesday for a much-discussed pastors' forum in a wedding chapel in Stonebridge Ranch. Without introducing himself beyond his name, Blackard made phone-room calls for Santorum in Charleston, S.C., then volunteered at events. Word got around about a "guy from Texas" who "threw a bunch of suits in his car and came to help." Eventually, Blackard found a smaller gathering where the host offered him time with Santorum. "I had one real question," Blackard said. He asked, "Are you a believer?" "I really got up in his face," Blackard said. "I want to put a godly leader in the White House." Blackard doesn't have a long partisan or political history. Mostly, he said, he wants a more conservative president to spark investors' confidence. But he also describes himself as an evangelical Christian slow to trust politicians. "Rick was unknown," he said. "I believed he was a born-again Christian. But I wasn't sure." Blackard didn't tell Santorum's answer. But the Texan stayed, working and sometimes helping carry suitcases. "I didn't want them to know much about me, because if he wasn't the right guy, I wasn't staying," Blackard said. "He was the right guy." Blackard offered to bring Santorum to Texas, where Republican leaders have been stifled by Gov. Rick Perry's devotion to Newt Gingrich. The developer opened his wedding chapel and invited pastors for an event that made CNN, The Washington Post and The New York Times. He helped plan Santorum's euphoric visit to staunchly evangelical Collin County. A Fort Worth visit is designer gucci belts 2012 cheap outlet beige in the works, Blackard said. He proudly read a news clipping with a quote from McKinney pastor Michael Gamble, who said Santorum "completely won me over. I think he represents the kingdom of God."

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